Population, Dwelling Unit and Employment Projections

​Providing long range population, dwelling unit and employment projections is a core service for Metro Vancouver's Regional Planning Division, and these long range projections support planning throughout the region. They are provided to TransLink and Metro Vancouver utilities to support capital infrastructure planning and to member jurisdictions and other regional stakeholders to support transportation, housing, and community planning. They are also a core part of supporting work towards achieving strategies and policies in the regional growth strategy.

Projection modeling is intended to promote collaboration and consistency among provincial, regional, and municipal planning agencies and establish a common basis of information, assumptions, and growth and policy implementation methods. Metro Vancouver prepares projections applicable to the following work to ensure an appropriate integration among critical regional infrastructure planning and implementation:

  • supporting regional water service and liquid waste utilities demand planning
  • assisting TransLink's transportation demand modelling
  • a reference for local Official Community Plans (OCP)
  • fundamental inputs to Metro Vancouver's regional land-use model

For more information on the methodology used to develop Metro Vancouver's growth projections, see: 

Projections are periodically revised for several reasons, including revisions to the underlying modeling input data, methodological improvements, and to reflect updated base year data from a new census. Projections are updated annually to reflect the latest estimates based on modeling input data (i.e. new data about vital statics, new immigration policies, etc.), and any new information on likely future demographic and economic changes.

The Metro Vancouver growth projection tables are below, and can also be downloaded as a PDF.

Metro Vancouver Population Projections

Table 1: Regional, Sub-Regional, and Municipal Population Projections by Decade to 2050

Table 1: Regional, Sub-Regional, and Municipal Population Projections by Decade to 2050 data

Notes:

  1. Projections are a mid- range scenario – consider a +/-15% range. Growth projections are provided as reference to member jurisdictions and regional agencies, and do not represent specific growth targets for the region or respective municipalities.
  2. Figures for 2016 are based on Census counts and undercounts and are a baseline for projection models. Population is projected for the years beyond 2016. 
  3. All figures at regional or sub-regional levels are approximate and rounded to the nearest 100. Municipal estimates are rounded to the nearest 10. This may include minor inconsistencies for aggregated totals.
  4. Municipal totals, with the exception of Tsawwassen First Nation, include the estimates of Indian Reserves located within the respective municipal boundary. 

Metro Vancouver Dwelling Unit Projections

Table 2: Regional, Sub-Regional, and Municipal Dwelling Unit Projections by Decade to 2050

Table 2: Regional, Sub-Regional, and Municipal Dwelling Unit Projections by Decade to 2050 data

Notes:

  1. Projections are a mid- range scenario – consider a +/-15% range. Growth projections are provided as reference to member jurisdictions and regional agencies, and do not represent specific growth targets for the region or respective municipalities.
  2. Figures for 2016 are based on Census counts and undercounts and are a baseline for projection models. Dwelling unit is projected for the years beyond 2016. 
  3. All figures at regional or sub-regional levels are approximate and rounded to the nearest 100. Municipal estimates are rounded to the nearest 10. This may include minor inconsistencies for aggregated totals.
  4. Municipal totals, with the exception of Tsawwassen First Nation, include the estimates of Indian Reserves located within the respective municipal boundary. 

Metro Vancouver Employment Projections

Table 3: Regional, Sub-Regional, and Municipal Employment Projections by Decade to 2050

Table 3: Regional, Sub-Regional, and Municipal Employment Projections by Decade to 2050 data

Notes:

  1. Projections are a mid- range scenario – consider a +/-15% range. Growth projections are provided as reference to member jurisdictions and regional agencies, and do not represent specific growth targets for the region or respective municipalities.
  2. Figures for 2016 are based on Census counts and undercounts and are a baseline for projection models. Employment is projected for the years beyond 2016. 
  3. All figures at regional or sub-regional levels are approximate and rounded to the nearest 100. Municipal estimates are rounded to the nearest 10. This may include minor inconsistencies for aggregated totals.
  4. Municipal totals, with the exception of Tsawwassen First Nation, include the estimates of Indian Reserves located within the respective municipal boundary. 

Geography

Table 4: Geographical Areas of Metro Vancouver Region, Sub-Region, Municipalities and CSDs

Table 4: Geographical Areas of Metro Vancouver Region, Sub-Region, Municipalities and CSDs